How do I distribute a small amount of data in a random order in a much larger volume of data?
For example, I have several thousand lines of 'real' data, and I want to insert a dozen or two lines of control data in a random order throughout the 'real' data.
Now I am not trying to ask how to use random number generators, I am asking a statistical question, I know how to generate random numbers, but my question is how do I ensure that this the data is inserted in a random order while at the same time being fairly evenly scattered through the file.
If I just rely on generating random numbers there is a possibility (albeit a very small one) that all my control data, or at least clumps of it, will be inserted within a fairly narrow selection of 'real' data. What is the best way to stop this from happening?
To phrase it another way, I want to insert control data throughout my real data without there being a way for a third party to calculate which rows are control and which are real.
Update: I have made this a 'community wiki' so if anyone wants to edit my question so it makes more sense then go right ahead.
Update: Let me try an example (I do not want to make this language or platform dependent as it is not a coding question, it is a statistical question).
I have 3000 rows of 'real' data (this amount will change from run to run, depending on the amount of data the user has).
I have 20 rows of 'control' data (again, this will change depending on the number of control rows the user wants to use, anything from zero upwards).
I now want to insert these 20 'control' rows roughly after every 150 rows or 'real' data has been inserted (3000/20 = 150). However I do not want it to be as accurate as that as I do not want the control rows to be identifiable simply based on their location in the output data.
Therefore I do not mind some of the 'control' rows being clumped together or for there to be some sections with very few or no 'control' rows at all, but generally I want the 'control' rows fairly evenly distributed throughout the data.
There's always a possibility that they get close to each other if you do it really random :)
But What I would do is:
You have N rows of real data and x of control data
To get an index of a row you should insert i-th control row, I'd use: N/(x+1) * i + r, where r is some random number, diffrent for each of the control rows, small compared to N/x. Choose any way of determining r, it can be either gaussian or even flat distribution. i is an index of the control row, so it's 1<=i<x
This way you can be sure that you avoid condensation of your control rows in one single place. Also you can be sure that they won't be in regular distances from each other.
Here's my thought. Why don't you just loop through the existing rows and "flip a coin" for each row to decide whether you will insert random data there.
for (int i=0; i<numberOfExistingRows; i++)
{
int r = random();
if (r > 0.5)
{
InsertRandomData();
}
}
This should give you a nice random distribution throughout the data.
Going with the 3000 real data rows and 20 control rows for the following example (I'm better with example than with english)
If you were to spread the 20 control rows as evenly as possible between the 3000 real data rows you'd insert one at each 150th real data row.
So pick that number, 150, for the next insertion index.
a) Generate a random number between 0 and 150 and subtract it from the insertion index
b) Insert the control row there.
c) Increase insertion index by 150
d) Repeat at step a)
Of course this is a very crude algorithm and it needs a few improvements :)
If the real data is large or much larger than the control data, just generate interarrival intervals for your control data.
So pick a random interval, copy out that many lines of real data, insert control data, repeat until finished. How to pick that random interval?
I'd recommend using a gaussian deviate with mean set to the real data size divided by the control data size, the former of which could be estimated if necessary, rather than measured or assumed known. Set the standard deviation of this gaussian based on how much "spread" you're willing to tolerate. Smaller stddev means a more leptokurtic distribution means tighter adherence to uniform spacing. Larger stdev means a more platykurtic distribution and looser adherence to uniform spacing.
Now what about the first and last sections of the file? That is: what about an insertion of control data at the very beginning or very end? One thing you can do is to come up with special-case estimates for these... but a nice trick is as follows: start your "index" into the real data at minus half the gaussian mean and generate your first deviate. Don't output any real data until your "index" into the real data is legit.
A symmetric trick at the end of the data should also work quite well (simply: keep generating deviates until you reach an "index" at least half the gaussian mean beyond the end of the real data. If the index just before this was off the end, generate data at the end.
You want to look at more than just statistics: it's helpful in developing an algorithm for this sort of thing to look at rudimentary queueing theory. See wikipedia or the Turing Omnibus, which has a nice, short chapter on the subject whose title is "Simulation".
Also: in some circumstance non-gaussian distributions, particularly the Poisson distribution, give better, more natural results for this sort of thing. The algorithm outline above still applies using half the mean of whatever distribution seems right.
Related
I want to build an application that would do something equivalent to running lsof (maybe changing it to output differently, because string processing may mean it is not real time enough) in a loop and then associate each line (entries) with what iteration it was present in, what I will be referring further as frames, as later on it will be better for understanding. My intention with it is that showing the times in which files are open by applications can reveal something about their structure, while not having big impact on their execution, which is often a problem. One problem I have is on processing the output, which would be a table relating "frames X entry", for that I am already anticipating that I will have wildly variable entry lengths. Which can fall in that problem of representing on geometry when you have very different scales, the smaller get infinitely small, while the bigger gets giant and fragmentation makes it even worse; so my question is if plotting libraries deal with this problem and how they do it
The easiest and most well-established technique for showing both small and large values in reasonable detail is a logarithmic scale. Instead of plotting raw values, plot their logarithms. This is notoriously problematic if you can have zero or even negative values, but as I understand your situations all your lengths would be strictly positive so this should work.
Another statistical solution you could apply is to plot ranks instead of raw values. Take all the observed values, and put them in a sorted list. When plotting any single data point, instead of plotting the value itself you look up that value in the list of values (possibly using binary search since it's a sorted list) then plot the index at which you found the value.
This is a monotonous transformation, so small values map to small indices and big values to big indices. On the other hand it completely discards the actual magnitude, only the relative comparisons matter.
If this is too radical, you could consider using it as an ingredient for something more tuneable. You could experiment with a linear combination, i.e. plot
a*x + b*log(x) + c*rank(x)
then tweak a, b and c till the result looks pleasing.
I'm attempting to estimate the total amount of results for app engine queries that will return large amounts of results.
In order to do this, I assigned a random floating point number between 0 and 1 to every entity. Then I executed the query for which I wanted to estimate the total results with the following 3 settings:
* I ordered by the random numbers that I had assigned in ascending order
* I set the offset to 1000
* I fetched only one entity
I then plugged the entities's random value that I had assigned for this purpose into the following equation to estimate the total results (since I used 1000 as the offset above, the value of OFFSET would be 1000 in this case):
1 / RANDOM * OFFSET
The idea is that since each entity has a random number assigned to it, and I am sorting by that random number, the entity's random number assignment should be proportionate to the beginning and end of the results with respect to its offset (in this case, 1000).
The problem I am having is that the results I am getting are giving me low estimates. And the estimates are lower, the lower the offset. I had anticipated that the lower the offset that I used, the less accurate the estimate should be, but I thought that the margin of error would be both above and below the actual number of results.
Below is a chart demonstrating what I am talking about. As you can see, the predictions get more consistent (accurate) as the offset increases from 1000 to 5000. But then the predictions predictably follow a 4 part polynomial. (y = -5E-15x4 + 7E-10x3 - 3E-05x2 + 0.3781x + 51608).
Am I making a mistake here, or does the standard python random number generator not distribute numbers evenly enough for this purpose?
Thanks!
Edit:
It turns out that this problem is due to my mistake. In another part of the program, I was grabbing entities from the beginning of the series, doing an operation, then re-assigning the random number. This resulted in a denser distribution of random numbers towards the end.
I did a little more digging into this concept, fixed the problem, and tried it again on a different query (so the number of results are different from above). I found that this idea can be used to estimate the total results for a query. One thing of note is that the "error" is very similar for offsets that are close by. When I did a scatter chart in excel, I expected the accuracy of the predictions at each offset to "cloud". Meaning that offsets at the very begging would produce a larger, less dense cloud that would converge to a very tiny, dense could around the actual value as the offsets got larger. This is not what happened as you can see below in the cart of how far off the predictions were at each offset. Where I thought there would be a cloud of dots, there is a line instead.
This is a chart of the maximum after each offset. For example the maximum error for any offset after 10000 was less than 1%:
When using GAE it makes a lot more sense not to try to do large amounts work on reads - it's built and optimized for very fast requests turnarounds. In this case it's actually more efficent to maintain a count of your results as and when you create the entities.
If you have a standard query, this is fairly easy - just use a sharded counter when creating the entities. You can seed this using a map reduce job to get the initial count.
If you have queries that might be dynamic, this is more difficult. If you know the range of possible queries that you might perform, you'd want to create a counter for each query that might run.
If the range of possible queries is infinite, you might want to think of aggregating counters or using them in more creative ways.
If you tell us the query you're trying to run, there might be someone who has a better idea.
Some quick thought:
Have you tried Datastore Statistics API? It may provide a fast and accurate results if you won't update your entities set very frequently.
http://code.google.com/appengine/docs/python/datastore/stats.html
[EDIT1.]
I did some math things, I think the estimate method you purposed here, could be rephrased as an "Order statistic" problem.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_statistic#The_order_statistics_of_the_uniform_distribution
For example:
If the actual entities number is 60000, the question equals to "what's the probability that your 1000th [2000th, 3000th, .... ] sample falling in the interval [l,u]; therefore, the estimated total entities number based on this sample, will have an acceptable error to 60000."
If the acceptable error is 5%, the interval [l, u] will be [0.015873015873015872, 0.017543859649122806]
I think the probability won't be very large.
This doesn't directly deal with the calculations aspect of your question, but would using the count attribute of a query object work for you? Or have you tried that out and it's not suitable? As per the docs, it's only slightly faster than retrieving all of the data, but on the plus side it would give you the actual number of results.
http://code.google.com/appengine/docs/python/datastore/queryclass.html#Query_count
Let's say I have two fairly large data sets - the first is called "Base" and it contains 200 million tab delimited rows and the second is call "MatchSet" which has 10 million tab delimited rows of similar data.
Let's say I then also have an arbitrary function called Match(row1, row2) and Match() essentially contains some heuristics for looking at row1 (from MatchSet) and comparing it to row2 (from Base) and determining if they are similar in some way.
Let's say the rules implemented in Match() are custom and complex rules, aka not a simple string match, involving some proprietary methods. Let's say for now Match(row1,row2) is written in psuedo-code so implementation in another language is not a problem (though it's in C++ today).
In a linear model, aka program running on one giant processor - we would read each line from MatchSet and each line from Base and compare one to the other using Match() and write out our match stats. For example we might capture: X records from MatchSet are strong matches, Y records from MatchSet are weak matches, Z records from MatchSet do not match. We would also write the strong/weak/non values to separate files for inspection. Aka, a nested loop of sorts:
for each row1 in MatchSet
{
for each row2 in Base
{
var type = Match(row1,row2);
switch(type)
{
//do something based on type
}
}
}
I've started considering Hadoop streaming as a method for running these comparisons as a batch job in a short amount of time. However, I'm having a bit of a hardtime getting my head around the map-reduce paradigm for this type of problem.
I understand pretty clearly at this point how to take a single input from hadoop, crunch the data using a mapping function and then emit the results to reduce. However, the "nested-loop" approach of comparing two sets of records is messing with me a bit.
The closest I'm coming to a solution is that I would basically still have to do a 10 million record compare in parallel across the 200 million records so 200 million/n nodes * 10 million iterations per node. Is that that most efficient way to do this?
From your description, it seems to me that your problem can be arbitrarily complex and could be a victim of the curse of dimensionality.
Imagine for example that your rows represent n-dimensional vectors, and that your matching function is "strong", "weak" or "no match" based on the Euclidean distance between a Base vector and a MatchSet vector. There are great techniques to solve these problems with a trade-off between speed, memory and the quality of the approximate answers. Critically, these techniques typically come with known bounds on time and space, and the probability to find a point within some distance around a given MatchSet prototype, all depending on some parameters of the algorithm.
Rather than for me to ramble about it here, please consider reading the following:
Locality Sensitive Hashing
The first few hits on Google Scholar when you search for "locality sensitive hashing map reduce". In particular, I remember reading [Das, Abhinandan S., et al. "Google news personalization: scalable online collaborative filtering." Proceedings of the 16th international conference on World Wide Web. ACM, 2007] with interest.
Now, on the other hand if you can devise a scheme that is directly amenable to some form of hashing, then you can easily produce a key for each record with such a hash (or even a small number of possible hash keys, one of which would match the query "Base" data), and the problem becomes a simple large(-ish) scale join. (I say "largish" because joining 200M rows with 10M rows is quite a small if the problem is indeed a join). As an example, consider the way CDDB computes the 32-bit ID for any music CD CDDB1 calculation. Sometimes, a given title may yield slightly different IDs (i.e. different CDs of the same title, or even the same CD read several times). But by and large there is a small set of distinct IDs for that title. At the cost of a small replication of the MatchSet, in that case you can get very fast search results.
Check the Section 3.5 - Relational Joins in the paper 'Data-Intensive Text Processing
with MapReduce'. I haven't gone in detail, but it might help you.
This is an old question, but your proposed solution is correct assuming that your single stream job does 200M * 10M Match() computations. By doing N batches of (200M / N) * 10M computations, you've achieved a factor of N speedup. By doing the computations in the map phase and then thresholding and steering the results to Strong/Weak/No Match reducers, you can gather the results for output to separate files.
If additional optimizations could be utilized, they'd like apply to both the single stream and parallel versions. Examples include blocking so that you need to do fewer than 200M * 10M computations or precomputing constant portions of the algorithm for the 10M match set.
Currently I am loooking for a way to develop an algorithm which is supposed to analyse a large dataset (about 600M records). The records have parameters "calling party", "called party", "call duration" and I would like to create a graph of weighted connections among phone users.
The whole dataset consists of similar records - people mostly talk to their friends and don't dial random numbers but occasionaly a person calls "random" numbers as well. For analysing the records I was thinking about the following logic:
create an array of numbers to indicate the which records (row number) have already been scanned.
start scanning from the first line and for the first line combination "calling party", "called party" check for the same combinations in the database
sum the call durations and divide the result by the sum of all call durations
add the numbers of summed lines into the array created at the beginning
check the array if the next record number has already been summed
if it has already been summed then skip the record, else perform step 2
I would appreciate if anyone of you suggested any improvement of the logic described above.
p.s. the edges are directed therefore the (calling party, called party) is not equal to (called party, calling party)
Although the fact is not programming related I would like to emphasize that due to law and respect for user privacy all the informations that could possibly reveal the user identity have been hashed before the analysis.
As always with large datasets the more information you have about the distribution of values in them the better you can tailor an algorithm. For example, if you knew that there were only, say, 1000 different telephone numbers to consider you could create a 1000x1000 array into which to write your statistics.
Your first step should be to analyse the distribution(s) of data in your dataset.
In the absence of any further information about your data I'm inclined to suggest that you create a hash table. Read each record in your 600M dataset and calculate a hash address from the concatenation of calling and called numbers. Into the table at that address write the calling and called numbers (you'll need them later, and bear in mind that the hash is probably irreversible), add 1 to the number of calls and add the duration to the total duration. Repeat 600M times.
Now you have a hash table which contains the data you want.
Since there are 600 M records, it seems to be large enough to leverage a database (and not too large to require a distributed Database). So, you could simply load this into a DB (MySQL, SQLServer, Oracle, etc) and run the following queries:
select calling_party, called_party, sum(call_duration), avg(call_duration), min(call_duration), max (call_duration), count(*) from call_log group by calling_party, called_party order by 7 desc
That would be a start.
Next, you would want to run some Association analysis (possibly using Weka), or perhaps you would want to analyze this information as cubes (possibly using Mondrian/OLAP). If you tell us more, we can help you more.
Algorithmically, what the DB is doing internally is similar to what you would do yourself programmatically:
Scan each record
Find the record for each (calling_party, called_party) combination, and update its stats.
A good way to store and find records for (calling_party, called_party) would be to use a hashfunction and to find the matching record from the bucket.
Althought it may be tempting to create a two dimensional array for (calling_party, called_party), that will he a very sparse array (very wasteful).
How often will you need to perform this analysis? If this is a large, unique dataset and thus only once or twice - don't worry too much about the performance, just get it done, e.g. as Amrinder Arora says by using simple, existing tooling you happen to know.
You really want more information about the distribution as High Performance Mark says. For starters, it's be nice to know the count of unique phone numbers, the count of unique phone number pairs, and, the mean, variance and maximum of the count of calling/called phone numbers per unique phone number.
You really want more information about the analysis you want to perform on the result. For instance, are you more interested in holistic statistics or identifying individual clusters? Do you care more about following the links forward (determining who X frequently called) or following the links backward (determining who X was frequently called by)? Do you want to project overviews of this graph into low-dimensional spaces, i.e. 2d? Should be easy to indentify indirect links - e.g. X is near {A, B, C} all of whom are near Y so X is sorta near Y?
If you want fast and frequently adapted results, then be aware that a dense representation with good memory & temporal locality can easily make a huge difference in performance. In particular, that can easily outweigh a factor ln N in big-O notation; you may benefit from a dense, sorted representation over a hashtable. And databases? Those are really slow. Don't touch those if you can avoid it at all; they are likely to be a factor 10000 slower - or more, the more complex the queries are you want to perform on the result.
Just sort records by "calling party" and then by "called party". That way each unique pair will have all its occurrences in consecutive positions. Hence, you can calculate the weight of each pair (calling party, called party) in one pass with little extra memory.
For sorting, you can sort small chunks separately, and then do a N-way merge sort. That's memory efficient and can be easily parallelized.
This is applicable to Google App Engine, but not necessarily constrained for it.
On Google App Engine, the database isn't relational, so no aggregate functions (such as sum, average etc) can be implemented. Each row is independent of each other. To calculate sum and average, the app simply has to amortize its calculation by recalculating for each individual new write to the database so that it's always up to date.
How would one go about calculating percentile and frequency distribution (i.e. density)? I'd like to make a graph of the density of a field of values, and this set of values is probably on the order of millions. It may be feasible to loop through the whole dataset (the limit for each query is 1000 rows returned), and calculate based on that, but I'd rather do some smart approach.
Is there some algorithm to calculate or approximate density/frequency/percentile distribution that can be calculated over a period of time?
By the way, the data is indeterminate in that the maximum and minimum may be all over the place. So the distribution would have to take approximately 95% of the data and only do a density based on that.
Getting the whole row (with that limit of 1000 at a time...) over and over again in order to get a single number per row is sure unappealing. So denormalize the data by recording that single number in a separate entity that holds a list of numbers (to a limit of I believe 1 MB per query, so with 4-byte numbers no more than 250,000 numbers per list).
So when adding a number also fetch the latest "added data values list" entity, if full make a new one instead, append the new number, save it. Probably no need to be transactional if a tiny error in the statistics is no killer, as you appear to imply.
If the data for an item can be changed have separate entities of the same kind recording the "deleted" data values; to change one item's value from 23 to 45, add 23 to the latest "deleted values" list, and 45 to the latest "added values" one -- this covers item deletion as well.
It may be feasible to loop through the whole dataset (the limit for each query is 1000 rows returned), and calculate based on that, but I'd rather do some smart approach.
This is the most obvious approach to me, why are you are you trying to avoid it?