Why is my nonlinear model fitting in mathematica not providing small figures? - wolfram-mathematica

#dataset, sigmoidal curve
ratio278a267 ={{5.445, 0.0501}, {6.177, 0.035}, {7., 0.0589}, {7.368,
0.0953}, {7.73, 0.1419}, {8.169, 1.0697}, {9.141, 1.0869}, {10.3,
1.0981}}
#nonlinearmodelfitting for dataset
fit = FindFit[ratio278a267, (1/(a + (E^(-b*(x - c))))), {a, b, c}, x]
fit2 = NonlinearModelFit[
ratio278a267, (1/(a + (E^(-b*(x - c))))), {a, b, c}, x]["RSquared"]
#fit1 & fit2 output respectively
output:
{a -> 0.639719, b -> -250.201, c -> -1008.92}
0.
The code above is what i used for a nonlinear fitting in Mathematica, and the output has not provided reasonably small figures, despite me having plotted this in a graphing calculator overlaid ontop of my dataset, with numbers between 0-10 for a,b,c and have obtained reasonable fitting

One way to get FindFit to converge on a good solution is to give it good starting values, particularly when your model could give wildly bad fits for some values of the values.
x=.;a=.;b=.;c=.;
ratio278a267 ={{5.445, 0.0501}, {6.177, 0.035}, {7., 0.0589}, {7.368,0.0953},
{7.73, 0.1419}, {8.169, 1.0697}, {9.141, 1.0869}, {10.3,1.0981}};
fit = FindFit[ratio278a267, (1/(a+(E^(-b*(x-c))))), {{a,0.92}, {b,8.7}, {c,7.9}}, x]
Show[ListPlot[ratio278a267],Plot[(1/(a+(E^(-b*(x-c)))))/.fit,{x,5.445,10.3}]]
In this example I found those starting values by doing ten thousand Monte Carlo trials looking for the smallest sum of squared error between the model and the data points and then let FindFit converge on the best values that it could find.

Related

Unable to generate a non-linear model fit to single variable data

I am trying to model the Kerr effect with experimental data, and the relationship between the independent variable voltage applied(U) and light intensity on crossed polarizers (L) is L = a * sin(b*U^2), where a and b are independent constants to be determined.
data = {{300, 0.014336918}, {350, 0.023297491}, {400,
0.053763441}, {450, 0.098566308}, {500, 0.172043011}, {550,
0.23297491}, {600, 0.336917563}, {650, 0.336917563}, {700,
0.403225806}, {750, 0.448028674}, {800, 0.480286738}, {850,
0.485663082}, {900, 0.487455197}, {950, 0.476702509}, {970,
0.465949821}, {985, 0.435483871}, {995, 0.415770609}}
nlm = NonlinearModelFit[data, a*Sin (b*(x^2)), {a, b}, x]
However, I get the following error:
NonlinearModelFit::nrlnum: ...
is not a list of real numbers with dimensions {17} at {a,b} = {1.,1.}.
I'm new to programming in this language but I have no idea what I am doing wrong. Is there any way to structure my data so that this function actually works?
After reading through the documentation, I realize that the non-linear function is a local iterated approximation method and since the coefficient of the parameter b is too small, Mathematica is unable to compute the value of b. Thus linearisation of the function and substitution back into the original equation solved my problem.

what is the best algorithm to solve 'toy matching puzzle'?

Imagine puzzle like this :
puzzle
I have several shapes, for example :
10 circles
8 triangles
9 squares
I also have some plates to put shapes, for example :
plate A : 2 circle holes, 3 triangle holes, 1 square holes
plate B : 1 circle holes, 0 triangle hole, 3 square holes
plate C : 2 circle holes, 2 triangle holes, 2 square holes
I want to find minimum numbers of plates to put shapes all (plates do not need to fill completely)
for example :
I can pick 6 plates [A, A, A, B, B, C], and I can insert all shapes
but I also can pick [A, A, C, C, C] and this is okay too,
so answer of this problem is : 5
If this problem generalized to N-types of shapes, and M-types of plates,
What is the best algorithm to solve this problem and what is time complexity of the answer?
This problem is a NP-hard problem, it is easier to see it once you realize that there is a very simple polynomial time reduction from the bin packing problem to this problem.
What I would suggest is for you to use integer linear programming techniques in order to solve it.
An ILP that solves your problem can be the following:
// Data
Shapes // array of integers of size n, contains the number of each shape to fit
Plates // 2D array of size n * m, Plates[i][j] represents the number of shape of type i
// that fit on a plate of type j
// Decision variables
X // array of integer of size m, will represent the number of plates of each type to use
// Constraints
For all j in 1 .. m, X[j] >= 0 // number of plates cannot be negative
For all i in 1 .. n, sum(j in 1..m) Plates[i][j] * X[j] >= Shapes[i] // all shapes must fit
Objective function:
minimize sum(j in 1..n) X[j]
Write the pseudo code in OPL, feed it to a linear programming solver, and you should get a solution reasonably fast, given the similarity of this problem with bin packing.
Edit: if you do not want to go though the trouble of learning LP basics, OPL, LP solvers, etc .... then the best and easiest approach for this problem would be a good old branch and bound implementation of this problem. Branch and bound is a very simple and powerful algorithm that can be used to solve a wide range of problem .... a must-know.
A solution to this problem should be done using dynamic programming I think.
Here is a solution in pseudo-code (I haven't tested it, but I think it should work):
parts = the number of shapes we want to fit as a vector
plates = the of plates we can use as a matrix (vector of vector)
function findSolution(parts, usedPlates):
if parts < 0: //all elements < 0
return usedPlates;
else:
bestSolution = null //or anything that shows that there is no solution yet
for X in plates:
if (parts > 0 on any index where X is > 0): //prevents an infinite loop (or stack overflow because of the recursion) that would occur using only e.g. the plate B from your question
used = findParts(parts - X, used.add(X)); //elementwise subtraction; recursion
if (used.length < best.length):
//the solution is better than the current best one
best = used;
//return the best solution that was found
return best
using the values from your question the initial variables would be:
parts = [10, 8, 9]
plates = [[2, 3, 1], [1, 0, 3], [2, 2, 2]]
and you would start the function like this:
solution = findSolution(parts /*= [10, 8, 9]*/, new empty list);
//solution would probably be [A, A, C, C, C], but also [C, C, C, C, C] would be possible (but in every case the solution has the optimal length of 5)
Using this algorithm you divide the problem in smaller problems using recursion (which is what most dynamic programming algorithms do).
The time complexity of this is not realy good, because you have to search every possible solution.
According to the master theorem the time complexity should be something like: O(n^(log_b(a))) where n = a = the number of plates used (in your example 3). b (the base of the logarithm) can't be calculated here (or at least I don't know how) but I assume it would be close to 1 which makes it a quite big exponent. But it also depends on the size of the entries in the parts vector and the entries in the plates vectores (less plates needed -> better time complexity, much plates needed -> bad time complexity).
So the time complexity is not very good. For bigger problems this will take very very long, but for small problems like in your question it should work.

How many thresholds and distance matrix are in Eigenface?

I edited my question trying to make it as short and precise.
I am developing a prototype of a facial recognition system for my Graduation Project. I use Eigenface and my main source is the document Turk and Pentland. It is available here: http://www.face-rec.org/algorithms/PCA/jcn.pdf.
My doubts focus on step 4 and 5.
I can not correctly interpret the number of thresholds: If two types of thresholds, or only one (Notice that the text speaks of two types but uses the same symbol). And again, my question is whether this (or these) threshold(s) is unique and global for all person or if each person has their own default.
I understand the steps to be calculated until an matrix O() of classes with weights or weighted. So this matrix O() is of dimension M'x P. Since M' equal to the amount of eigenfaces chosen and P the number of people.
What follows and confuses me. He speaks of two distances: the distance of a class against another, and also from a distance of one face to another. I call it D1 and D2 respectively. NOTE: In the training set there are M images in total, with F = M / P the number of images per person.
I understand that threshold(s) should be chosen empirically. But there must be a way to approximate. I was initially designing a matrix of distances D1() of dimension PxP. Where the row vector D(i) has the distances from the vector average class O(i) to each O(j), j = 1..P. Ie a "all vs all."
Until I came here, and what follows depends on whether I should actually choose a single global threshold for all. Or if I should be chosen for each individual value. Also not if they are 2 types: one for distance classes, and one for distance faces.
I have a theory as could proceed but not so supported by the concepts of Turk:
Stage Pre-Test:
Gender two matrices of distances D1 and D2:
In D1 would be stored distances between classes, and in D2 distances between faces. This basis of the matrices W and A respectively.
Then, as indeed in the training set are P people, taking the F vectors columns D1 for each person and estimate a threshold T1 was in range [Min, Max]. Thus I will have a T1(i), i = 1..P
Separately have a T2 based on the range [Min, Max] out of all the matrix D2. This define is a face or not.
Step Test:
Buid a test set of image with a 1 image for each known person
Itest = {Itest(1) ... Itest(P)}
For every image Itest(i) test:
Calculate the space face Atest = Itest - Imean
Calculate the weight vector Otest = UT * Atest
Calculating distances:
dist1(j) = distance(Otest, O (j)), j = 1..P
Af = project(Otest, U)
dist2 = distance(Atest, Af)
Evaluate recognition:
MinDist = Min(dist1)
For each j = 1..P
If dist2 > T2 then "not is face" else:
If MinDist <= T1(j) then "Subject identified as j" else "subject unidentified"
Then I take account of TFA and TFR and repeat the test process with different threshold values until I find the best approach gives to each person.
Already defined thresholds can put the system into operation unknown images. The algorithm is similar to the test.
I know I get out of "script" of the official documentation but at least this reasoning is the most logical place my head. I wondered if I could give guidance.
EDIT:
i No more to say that has not already been said and that may help clarify things.
Could anyone tell me if I'm okay tackled with my "theory"? I'm moving into my project, and if this is not the right way would appreciate some guidance and does not work and you wrong.

Continuous Fourier transform on discrete data using Mathematica?

I have some periodic data, but the amount of data is not a multiple of
the period. How can I Fourier analyze this data? Example:
% Let's create some data for testing:
data = Table[N[753+919*Sin[x/623-125]], {x,1,25000}]
% I now receive this data, but have no idea that it came from the
formula above. I'm trying to reconstruct the formula just from 'data'.
% Looking at the first few non-constant terms of the Fourier series:
ListPlot[Table[Abs[Fourier[data]][[x]], {x,2,20}], PlotJoined->True,
PlotRange->All]
shows an expected spike at 6 (since the number of periods is really
25000/(623*2*Pi) or about 6.38663, though we don't know this).
% Now, how do I get back 6.38663? One way is to "convolve" the data with
arbitrary multiples of Cos[x].
convolve[n_] := Sum[data[[x]]*Cos[n*x], {x,1,25000}]
% And graph the "convolution" near n=6:
Plot[convolve[n],{n,5,7}, PlotRange->All]
we see a spike roughly where expected.
% We try FindMaximum:
FindMaximum[convolve[n],{n,5,7}]
but the result is useless and inaccurate:
FindMaximum::fmmp:
Machine precision is insufficient to achieve the requested accuracy or
precision.
Out[119]= {98.9285, {n -> 5.17881}}
because the function is very wiggly.
% By refining our interval (using visual analysis on the plots), we
finally find an interval where convolve[] doesn't wiggle too much:
Plot[convolve[n],{n,6.2831,6.2833}, PlotRange->All]
and FindMaximum works:
FindMaximum[convolve[n],{n,6.2831,6.2833}] // FortranForm
List(1.984759605826571e7,List(Rule(n,6.2831853071787975)))
% However, this process is ugly, requires human intervention, and
computing convolve[] is REALLY slow. Is there a better way to do this?
% Looking at the Fourier series of the data, can I somehow divine the
"true" number of periods is 6.38663? Of course, the actual result
would be 6.283185, since my data fits that better (because I'm only
sampling at a finite number of points).
Based on Mathematica help for the Fourier function / Applications / Frequency Identification:
Checked on version 7
n = 25000;
data = Table[N[753 + 919*Sin[x/623 - 125]], {x, 1, n}];
pdata = data - Total[data]/Length[data];
f = Abs[Fourier[pdata]];
pos = Ordering[-f, 1][[1]]; (*the position of the first Maximal value*)
fr = Abs[Fourier[pdata Exp[2 Pi I (pos - 2) N[Range[0, n - 1]]/n],
FourierParameters -> {0, 2/n}]];
frpos = Ordering[-fr, 1][[1]];
N[(pos - 2 + 2 (frpos - 1)/n)]
returns 6.37072
Look for the period length using autocorrelation to get an estimate:
autocorrelate[data_, d_] :=
Plus ## (Drop[data, d]*Drop[data, -d])/(Length[data] - d)
ListPlot[Table[{d, autocorrelate[data, d]}, {d, 0, 5000, 100}]]
A smart search for the first maximum away from d=0 may be the best estimate you can get form the available data?
(* the data *)
data = Table[N[753+919*Sin[x/623-125]], {x,1,25000}];
(* Find the position of the largest Fourier coefficient, after
removing the last half of the list (which is redundant) and the
constant term; the [[1]] is necessary because Ordering returns a list *)
f2 = Ordering[Abs[Take[Fourier[data], {2,Round[Length[data]/2+1]}]],-1][[1]]
(* Result: 6 *)
(* Directly find the least squares difference between all functions of
the form a+b*Sin[c*n-d], with intelligent starting values *)
sol = FindMinimum[Sum[((a+b*Sin[c*n-d]) - data[[n]])^2, {n,1,Length[data]}],
{{a,Mean[data]},{b,(Max[data]-Min[data])/2},{c,2*f2*Pi/Length[data]},d}]
(* Result (using //InputForm):
FindMinimum::sszero:
The step size in the search has become less than the tolerance prescribed by
the PrecisionGoal option, but the gradient is larger than the tolerance
specified by the AccuracyGoal option. There is a possibility that the method
has stalled at a point that is not a local minimum.
{2.1375902350021628*^-19, {a -> 753., b -> -919., c -> 0.0016051364365971107,
d -> 2.477886509998064}}
*)
(* Create a table of values for the resulting function to compare to 'data' *)
tab = Table[a+b*Sin[c*x-d], {x,1,Length[data]}] /. sol[[2]];
(* The maximal difference is effectively 0 *)
Max[Abs[data-tab]] // InputForm
(* Result: 7.73070496506989*^-12 *)
Although the above doesn't necessarily fully answer my question, I found it
somewhat remarkable.
Earlier, I'd tried using FindFit[] with Method -> NMinimize (which is
supposed to give a better global fit), but that didn't work well,
possibly because you can't give FindFit[] intelligent starting values.
The error I get bugs me but appears to be irrelevant.

Representing continuous probability distributions

I have a problem involving a collection of continuous probability distribution functions, most of which are determined empirically (e.g. departure times, transit times). What I need is some way of taking two of these PDFs and doing arithmetic on them. E.g. if I have two values x taken from PDF X, and y taken from PDF Y, I need to get the PDF for (x+y), or any other operation f(x,y).
An analytical solution is not possible, so what I'm looking for is some representation of PDFs that allows such things. An obvious (but computationally expensive) solution is monte-carlo: generate lots of values of x and y, and then just measure f(x, y). But that takes too much CPU time.
I did think about representing the PDF as a list of ranges where each range has a roughly equal probability, effectively representing the PDF as the union of a list of uniform distributions. But I can't see how to combine them.
Does anyone have any good solutions to this problem?
Edit: The goal is to create a mini-language (aka Domain Specific Language) for manipulating PDFs. But first I need to sort out the underlying representation and algorithms.
Edit 2: dmckee suggests a histogram implementation. That is what I was getting at with my list of uniform distributions. But I don't see how to combine them to create new distributions. Ultimately I need to find things like P(x < y) in cases where this may be quite small.
Edit 3: I have a bunch of histograms. They are not evenly distributed because I'm generating them from occurance data, so basically if I have 100 samples and I want ten points in the histogram then I allocate 10 samples to each bar, and make the bars variable width but constant area.
I've figured out that to add PDFs you convolve them, and I've boned up on the maths for that. When you convolve two uniform distributions you get a new distribution with three sections: the wider uniform distribution is still there, but with a triangle stuck on each side the width of the narrower one. So if I convolve each element of X and Y I'll get a bunch of these, all overlapping. Now I'm trying to figure out how to sum them all and then get a histogram that is the best approximation to it.
I'm beginning to wonder if Monte-Carlo wasn't such a bad idea after all.
Edit 4: This paper discusses convolutions of uniform distributions in some detail. In general you get a "trapezoid" distribution. Since each "column" in the histograms is a uniform distribution, I had hoped that the problem could be solved by convolving these columns and summing the results.
However the result is considerably more complex than the inputs, and also includes triangles. Edit 5: [Wrong stuff removed]. But if these trapezoids are approximated to rectangles with the same area then you get the Right Answer, and reducing the number of rectangles in the result looks pretty straightforward too. This might be the solution I've been trying to find.
Edit 6: Solved! Here is the final Haskell code for this problem:
-- | Continuous distributions of scalars are represented as a
-- | histogram where each bar has approximately constant area but
-- | variable width and height. A histogram with N bars is stored as
-- | a list of N+1 values.
data Continuous = C {
cN :: Int,
-- ^ Number of bars in the histogram.
cAreas :: [Double],
-- ^ Areas of the bars. #length cAreas == cN#
cBars :: [Double]
-- ^ Boundaries of the bars. #length cBars == cN + 1#
} deriving (Show, Read)
{- | Add distributions. If two random variables #vX# and #vY# are
taken from distributions #x# and #y# respectively then the
distribution of #(vX + vY)# will be #(x .+. y).
This is implemented as the convolution of distributions x and y.
Each is a histogram, which is to say the sum of a collection of
uniform distributions (the "bars"). Therefore the convolution can be
computed as the sum of the convolutions of the cross product of the
components of x and y.
When you convolve two uniform distributions of unequal size you get a
trapezoidal distribution. Let p = p2-p1, q - q2-q1. Then we get:
> | |
> | ______ |
> | | | with | _____________
> | | | | | |
> +-----+----+------- +--+-----------+-
> p1 p2 q1 q2
>
> gives h|....... _______________
> | /: :\
> | / : : \ 1
> | / : : \ where h = -
> | / : : \ q
> | / : : \
> +--+-----+-------------+-----+-----
> p1+q1 p2+q1 p1+q2 p2+q2
However we cannot keep the trapezoid in the final result because our
representation is restricted to uniform distributions. So instead we
store a uniform approximation to the trapezoid with the same area:
> h|......___________________
> | | / \ |
> | |/ \|
> | | |
> | /| |\
> | / | | \
> +-----+-------------------+--------
> p1+q1+p/2 p2+q2-p/2
-}
(.+.) :: Continuous -> Continuous -> Continuous
c .+. d = C {cN = length bars - 1,
cBars = map fst bars,
cAreas = zipWith barArea bars (tail bars)}
where
-- The convolve function returns a list of two (x, deltaY) pairs.
-- These can be sorted by x and then sequentially summed to get
-- the new histogram. The "b" parameter is the product of the
-- height of the input bars, which was omitted from the diagrams
-- above.
convolve b c1 c2 d1 d2 =
if (c2-c1) < (d2-d1) then convolve1 b c1 c2 d1 d2 else convolve1 b d1
d2 c1 c2
convolve1 b p1 p2 q1 q2 =
[(p1+q1+halfP, h), (p2+q2-halfP, (-h))]
where
halfP = (p2-p1)/2
h = b / (q2-q1)
outline = map sumGroup $ groupBy ((==) `on` fst) $ sortBy (comparing fst)
$ concat
[convolve (areaC*areaD) c1 c2 d1 d2 |
(c1, c2, areaC) <- zip3 (cBars c) (tail $ cBars c) (cAreas c),
(d1, d2, areaD) <- zip3 (cBars d) (tail $ cBars d) (cAreas d)
]
sumGroup pairs = (fst $ head pairs, sum $ map snd pairs)
bars = tail $ scanl (\(_,y) (x2,dy) -> (x2, y+dy)) (0, 0) outline
barArea (x1, h) (x2, _) = (x2 - x1) * h
Other operators are left as an exercise for the reader.
No need for histograms or symbolic computation: everything can be done at the language level in closed form, if the right point of view is taken.
[I shall use the term "measure" and "distribution" interchangeably. Also, my Haskell is rusty and I ask you to forgive me for being imprecise in this area.]
Probability distributions are really codata.
Let mu be a probability measure. The only thing you can do with a measure is integrate it against a test function (this is one possible mathematical definition of "measure"). Note that this is what you will eventually do: for instance integrating against identity is taking the mean:
mean :: Measure -> Double
mean mu = mu id
another example:
variance :: Measure -> Double
variance mu = (mu $ \x -> x ^ 2) - (mean mu) ^ 2
another example, which computes P(mu < x):
cdf :: Measure -> Double -> Double
cdf mu x = mu $ \z -> if z < x then 1 else 0
This suggests an approach by duality.
The type Measure shall therefore denote the type (Double -> Double) -> Double. This allows you to model results of MC simulation, numerical/symbolic quadrature against a PDF, etc. For instance, the function
empirical :: [Double] -> Measure
empirical h:t f = (f h) + empirical t f
returns the integral of f against an empirical measure obtained by eg. MC sampling. Also
from_pdf :: (Double -> Double) -> Measure
from_pdf rho f = my_favorite_quadrature_method rho f
construct measures from (regular) densities.
Now, the good news. If mu and nu are two measures, the convolution mu ** nu is given by:
(mu ** nu) f = nu $ \y -> (mu $ \x -> f $ x + y)
So, given two measures, you can integrate against their convolution.
Also, given a random variable X of law mu, the law of a * X is given by:
rescale :: Double -> Measure -> Measure
rescale a mu f = mu $ \x -> f(a * x)
Also, the distribution of phi(X) is given by the image measure phi_* X, in our framework:
apply :: (Double -> Double) -> Measure -> Measure
apply phi mu f = mu $ f . phi
So now you can easily work out an embedded language for measures. There are much more things to do here, particularly with respect to sample spaces other than the real line, dependencies between random variables, conditionning, but I hope you get the point.
In particular, the pushforward is functorial:
newtype Measure a = (a -> Double) -> Double
instance Functor Measure a where
fmap f mu = apply f mu
It is a monad too (exercise -- hint: this very much looks like the continuation monad. What is return ? What is the analog of call/cc ?).
Also, combined with a differential geometry framework, this can probably be turned into something which compute Bayesian posterior distributions automatically.
At the end of the day, you can write stuff like
m = mean $ apply cos ((from_pdf gauss) ** (empirical data))
to compute the mean of cos(X + Y) where X has pdf gauss and Y has been sampled by a MC method whose results are in data.
Probability distributions form a monad; see eg the work of Claire Jones and also the LICS 1989 paper, but the ideas go back to a 1982 paper by Giry (DOI 10.1007/BFb0092872) and to a 1962 note by Lawvere that I cannot track down (http://permalink.gmane.org/gmane.science.mathematics.categories/6541).
But I don't see the comonad: there's no way to get an "a" out of an "(a->Double)->Double". Perhaps if you make it polymorphic - (a->r)->r for all r? (That's the continuation monad.)
Is there anything that stops you from employing a mini-language for this?
By that I mean, define a language that lets you write f = x + y and evaluates f for you just as written. And similarly for g = x * z, h = y(x), etc. ad nauseum. (The semantics I'm suggesting call for the evaluator to select a random number on each innermost PDF appearing on the RHS at evaluation time, and not to try to understand the composted form of the resulting PDFs. This may not be fast enough...)
Assuming that you understand the precision limits you need, you can represent a PDF fairly simply with a histogram or spline (the former being a degenerate case of the later). If you need to mix analytically defined PDFs with experimentally determined ones, you'll have to add a type mechanism.
A histogram is just an array, the contents of which represent the incidence in a particular region of the input range. You haven't said if you have a language preference, so I'll assume something c-like. You need to know the bin-structure (uniorm sizes are easy, but not always best) including the high and low limits and possibly the normalizatation:
struct histogram_struct {
int bins; /* Assumed to be uniform */
double low;
double high;
/* double normalization; */
/* double *errors; */ /* if using, intialize with enough space,
* and store _squared_ errors
*/
double contents[];
};
This kind of thing is very common in scientific analysis software, and you might want to use an existing implementation.
I worked on similar problems for my dissertation.
One way to compute approximate convolutions is to take the Fourier transform of the density functions (histograms in this case), multiply them, then take the inverse Fourier transform to get the convolution.
Look at Appendix C of my dissertation for formulas for various special cases of operations on probability distributions. You can find the dissertation at: http://riso.sourceforge.net
I wrote Java code to carry out those operations. You can find the code at: https://sourceforge.net/projects/riso
Autonomous mobile robotics deals with similar issue in localization and navigation, in particular the Markov localization and Kalman filter (sensor fusion). See An experimental comparison of localization methods continued for example.
Another approach you could borrow from mobile robots is path planning using potential fields.
A couple of responses:
1) If you have empirically determined PDFs they either you have histograms or you have an approximation to a parametric PDF. A PDF is a continuous function and you don't have infinite data...
2) Let's assume that the variables are independent. Then if you make the PDF discrete then P(f(x,y)) = f(x,y)p(x,y) = f(x,y)p(x)p(y) summed over all the combinations of x and y such that f(x,y) meets your target.
If you are going to fit the empirical PDFs to standard PDFs, e.g. the normal distribution, then you can use already-determined functions to figure out the sum, etc.
If the variables are not independent, then you have more trouble on your hands and I think you have to use copulas.
I think that defining your own mini-language, etc., is overkill. you can do this with arrays...
Some initial thoughts:
First, Mathematica has a nice facility for doing this with exact distributions.
Second, representation as histograms (ie, empirical PDFs) is problematic since you have to make choices about bin size. That can be avoided by storing a cumulative distribution instead, ie, an empirical CDF. (In fact, you then retain the ability to recreate the full data set of samples that the empirical distribution is based on.)
Here's some ugly Mathematica code to take a list of samples and return an empirical CDF, namely a list of value-probability pairs. Run the output of this through ListPlot to see a plot of the empirical CDF.
empiricalCDF[t_] :=
Flatten[{{#[[2,1]],#[[1,2]]},#[[2]]}&/#Partition[Prepend[Transpose[{#[[1]],
Rest[FoldList[Plus,0,#[[2]]]]/Length[t]}&[Transpose[{First[#],Length[#]}&/#
Split[Sort[t]]]]],{Null,0}],2,1],1]
Finally, here's some information on combining discrete probability distributions:
http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/Chapter7.pdf
I think the histograms or the list of 1/N area regions is a good idea. For the sake of argument, I'll assume that you'll have a fixed N for all distributions.
Use the paper you linked edit 4 to generate the new distribution. Then, approximate it with a new N-element distribution.
If you don't want N to be fixed, it's even easier. Take each convex polygon (trapezoid or triangle) in the new generated distribution and approximate it with a uniform distribution.
Another suggestion is to use kernel densities. Especially if you use Gaussian kernels, then they can be relatively easy to work with... except that the distributions quickly explode in size without care. Depending on the application, there are additional approximation techniques like importance sampling that can be used.
If you want some fun, try representing them symbolically like Maple or Mathemetica would do. Maple uses directed acyclic graphs, while Matematica uses a list/lisp like appoach (I believe, but it's been a loooong time, since I even thought about this).
Do all your manipulations symbolically, then at the end push through numerical values. (Or just find a way to launch off in a shell and do the computations).
Paul.

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