Expectation Maximization Reestimation - algorithm

Typically, the re-estimation iterative procedure stops when lambda.bar - lambda is less than some epsilon value.
How exactly does one determine this epsilon value? I often only see is written as the general epsilon symbol in papers, and never the actual value used, which I assume would change depending on the data.
So, for instance, if the lambda value of my first iteration was 5*10^-22, second iteration was 1.3*10^-15, third was 8.45*10^-15, fourth was 1.65*10^-14, etc., how would I determine when the algorithm needed no more iteratons?
Moreover, what if I were to apply the same alogrithm to a different datset? would I need to change my epsilon definitions?
Sorry for the long question. Pretty puzzled by it... :)

"how would I determine when the algorithm needed no more iteratons?"
When you get a "good-enough" result within a reasonable amount of time. ;-)
"Moreover, what if I were to apply the same alogrithm to a different datset? would I need to
change my epsilon definitions?"
Yes, most probably.

If you can afford it, you can just let it iterate until the updated value <= the old value (it could be < due to floating point error). I would be inclined to go with this until I ran out of patience or cpu budget.

Related

Which statistic to use when testing for multicollinearity in python?

I've been reading a lot about multicollinearity but am still unsure whether to use the Durbin-Watson score, the eigenvalues or the variance inflation factor. I only have three independent variables and the eigenvalues are:
1.81768828 0.95241948 0.22989225
How I understood it, only values too close to zero indicate multicollinearity. I wasn't sure if the last one (0.22) counts as "close to zero" but when checking its eigenvector, the result is:
-0.53977799 -0.44013805 0.71757802
and each of them would indicate collinearity as they are NOT close to zero (this time it's the other way around). Am I correct until here?
The Durbin-Watson score is 1.93 (calculated through the summary() function from statsmodels with an added intercept). This does NOT show strong multicollinearity, right?
As nobody gives clear "cutoff" values, I am a bit confusing as to which values count as "close to zero" or not.
Should I calculate the VIF as well, just to be extra sure?
Any help is much appreciated!

Modelica events and hybrid modelling

I would like to understand the general idea behind hybrid modelling (in particular state events) from a numerical point of view (although I am not a mathematician :)). Given the following Modelica model:
model BouncingBall
constant Real g=9.81
Real h(start=1);
Real v(start=0);
equation
der(h)=v;
der(v)=-g;
algorithm
when h < 0 then
reinit(v,-pre(v));
end when;
end BouncingBall;
I understand the concept of when and reinit.
The equation in the when statement are only active when the condition become true right?
Let's assume that the ball would hit the floor at exactly 2sec. Since I am using multi-step solver does that mean that the solver "goes beyond 2 seconds", recognizes that h<0 (lets assume at simulation time = 2.5sec , h = -0.7). What does this mean "The time for the event is searched using a crossing function? Is there a simple explanation(example)?
Is the solver now going back? Taking a smaller step-size?
What does the pre() operation mean in that context?
noEvent(): "Expressions are taken literally instead of generating crossing functions. Since there is no crossing function, there is no requirement tat the expression can be evaluated beyond the event limit": What does that mean? Given the same example with the bouncing ball: The solver detects at time 2.5 that h = 0.7. Whats the difference between with and without noEvent()?
Yes, the body of when is only executed at events.
Simple view: The solver takes steps, and then uses a continuous extension to generate a (smooth) interpolation formula for the previous step. That interpolation formula can be used to generate a plot, and also for finding the first point where h has crossed zero (likely 2.000000001). An event iteration is then done at that interpolated point - and afterwards the solver is restarted.
I wouldn't say that the solver goes back. It takes a partial step and then continues forward. Some solvers need to reduce the step-size a lot after the event - others don't.
pre(x) is set to the value of x before the event.
noEvent(h<0) basically means evaluate the expression as written without all the bells-and-whistles of crossing functions. You cannot use when noEvent(h<0) then
There are many additional point:
If you are familiar with Sturm-sequences or control theory you might realize that it is not necessary to interpolate a formula to determine if it crossed zero or not in an interval (and some tools use that). The fact that the function is not necessarily smooth makes it a bit more complicated, and also means that derivative-tests cannot be used.
How much the solver is reset depends on the kind of solver. One-step solvers (Runge-Kutta) can be restarted directly as if virtually nothing happened, whereas multi-step solvers (BDF/Adams - such as dassl/lsodar/cvode) need to start with lower order and smaller step-size.

How I predict how some formula will behave with integers?

I am making some software that need to work with integers.
Also I need to apply some formula to those integers, repeatedly over time (example, do x/=z several times in a row for a indefinite amount).
All tools, algorithms and formulas I could think or find, or don't work with integers at all, or work as approximations at best.
For example the x/=z several times in a row for example, you can theoretically calculate what x will be in the 10th time by doing x = x/(z^10), but that will be wrong if the result is fractional, you can use floor(x/(z^10)), but the result will STILL be wrong.
Plotting software that I found also don't have integers at all, or has "floor()/ceil()" functions support, at best, and still the result would fall in the problem of the previous paragraph.
So how I do it?
Here's something to get you going for the iteration of x/=z:
(that should have ended in "all three terms are 0 with regard to integer division")
Now if x or z are negative, you can try and see whether this still holds; I did not invest the time to make the necessary case distinctions, but they should be fairly analogous.
As Karoly Horvath mentions in a comment, without a clear specification of the kinds of functions for which you would like to find a shortcut to replace iterative evaluation, helping you out won't be possible since there are uncountably many functions over the integers, and the same approach won't work for all of them.

Fast check if element is in MATLAB matrix

I would like to verify whether an element is present in a MATLAB matrix.
At the beginning, I implemented as follows:
if ~isempty(find(matrix(:) == element))
which is obviously slow. Thus, I changed to:
if sum(matrix(:) == element) ~= 0
but this is again slow: I am calling a lot of times the function that contains this instruction, and I lose 14 seconds each time!
Is there a way of further optimize this instruction?
Thanks.
If you just need to know if a value exists in a matrix, using the second argument of find to specify that you just want one value will be slightly faster (25-50%) and even a bit faster than using sum, at least on my machine. An example:
matrix = randi(100,1e4,1e4);
element = 50;
~isempty(find(matrix(:)==element,1))
However, in recent versions of Matlab (I'm using R2014b), nnz is finally faster for this operation, so:
matrix = randi(100,1e4,1e4);
element = 50;
nnz(matrix==element)~=0
On my machine this is about 2.8 times faster than any other approach (including using any, strangely) for the example provided. To my mind, this solution also has the benefit of being the most readable.
In my opinion, there are several things you could try to improve performance:
following your initial idea, i would go for the function any to test is any of the equality tests had a success:
if any(matrix(:) == element)
I tested this on a 1000 by 1000 matrix and it is faster than the solutions you have tested.
I do not think that the unfolding matrix(:) is penalizing since it is equivalent to a reshape and Matlab does this in a smart way where it does not actually allocate and move memory since you are not modifying the temporary object matrix(:)
If your does not change between the calls to the function or changes rarely you could simply use another vector containing all the elements of your matrix, but sorted. This way you could use a more efficient search algorithm O(log(N)) test for the presence of your element.
I personally like the ismember function for this kind of problems. It might not be the fastest but for non critical parts of the code it greatly improves readability and code maintenance (and I prefer to spend one hour coding something that will take day to run than spending one day to code something that will run in one hour (this of course depends on how often you use this program, but it is something one should never forget)
If you can have a sorted copy of the elements of your matrix, you could consider using the undocumented Matlab function ismembc but remember that inputs must be sorted non-sparse non-NaN values.
If performance really is critical you might want to write your own mex file and for this task you could even include some simple parallelization using openmp.
Hope this helps,
Adrien.

Is it worth it to rewrite an if statement to avoid branching?

Recently I realized I have been doing too much branching without caring the negative impact on performance it had, therefore I have made up my mind to attempt to learn all about not branching. And here is a more extreme case, in attempt to make the code to have as little branch as possible.
Hence for the code
if(expression)
A = C; //A and C have to be the same type here obviously
expression can be A == B, or Q<=B, it could be anything that resolve to true or false, or i would like to think of it in term of the result being 1 or 0 here
I have come up with this non branching version
A += (expression)*(C-A); //Edited with thanks
So my question would be, is this a good solution that maximize efficiency?
If yes why and if not why?
Depends on the compiler, instruction set, optimizer, etc. When you use a boolean expression as an int value, e.g., (A == B) * C, the compiler has to do the compare, and the set some register to 0 or 1 based on the result. Some instruction sets might not have any way to do that other than branching. Generally speaking, it's better to write simple, straightforward code and let the optimizer figure it out, or find a different algorithm that branches less.
Jeez, no, don't do that!
Anyone who "penalize[s] [you] a lot for branching" would hopefully send you packing for using something that awful.
How is it awful, let me count the ways:
There's no guarantee you can multiply a quantity (e.g., C) by a boolean value (e.g., (A==B) yields true or false). Some languages will, some won't.
Anyone casually reading it is going observe a calculation, not an assignment statement.
You're replacing a comparison, and a conditional branch with two comparisons, two multiplications, a subtraction, and an addition. Seriously non-optimal.
It only works for integral numeric quantities. Try this with a wide variety of floating point numbers, or with an object, and if you're really lucky it will be rejected by the compiler/interpreter/whatever.
You should only ever consider doing this if you had analyzed the runtime properties of the program and determined that there is a frequent branch misprediction here, and that this is causing an actual performance problem. It makes the code much less clear, and its not obvious that it would be any faster in general (this is something you would also have to measure, under the circumstances you are interested in).
After doing research, I came to the conclusion that when there are bottleneck, it would be good to include timed profiler, as these kind of codes are usually not portable and are mainly used for optimization.
An exact example I had after reading the following question below
Why is it faster to process a sorted array than an unsorted array?
I tested my code on C++ using that, that my implementation was actually slower due to the extra arithmetics.
HOWEVER!
For this case below
if(expression) //branched version
A += C;
//OR
A += (expression)*(C); //non-branching version
The timing was as of such.
Branched Sorted list was approximately 2seconds.
Branched unsorted list was aproximately 10 seconds.
My implementation (whether sorted or unsorted) are both 3seconds.
This goes to show that in an unsorted area of bottleneck, when we have a trivial branching that can be simply replaced by a single multiplication.
It is probably more worthwhile to consider the implementation that I have suggested.
** Once again it is mainly for the areas that is deemed as the bottleneck **

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