I am using a pretrained model that gives me an zero-shot output of three probabilities for three classes(day, night, and aerial photos), I need to find the threshold that maximizes the value of one class (day) and minimizes the other two, to label the data, but I am unsure how.
A colleague suggested me to use K fold cross validation, but I'm still unsure how to implement it, as far as I know the Kfold is used to test the accuracy of a model, and I do not have labelled data, and the model is a pretrained one.
I've looked around, but the solutions I found do not consider the use of unlabeled data, as they presume you're training the model, while I have a pretrained one that I am using as a tool to label new unknown data, but I still have to find that pesky threshold.
Any advice?
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I am trying to train with new labelled document(TaggedDocument) with the pre-trained model.
Pretrained model is the trained model with documents which the unique id with label1_index, for instance, Good_0, Good_1 to Good_999
And the total size of trained data is about 7000
Now, I want to train the pre-trained model with new documents which the unique id with label2_index, for instance, Bad_0, Bad_1... to Bad_1211
And the total size of trained data is about 1211
The train itself was successful without any error, but the problem is that whenever I try to use 'most_similar' it only suggests the similar document labelled with Good_... where I expect the labelled with Bad_.
If I train altogether from the beginning, it gives me the answers I expected - it infers a newly given document similar to either labelled with Good or Bad.
However, the practice above will not work as the one trained altogether from the beginning.
Is continuing train not working properly or did I make some mistake?
The gensim Doc2Vec class can always be fed extra examples via train(), but it only discovers the working vocabulary of both word-tokens and document-tags during an initial build_vocab() step. So unless words/tags were available during the build_vocab(), they'll be ignored as unknown later. (The words get silently dropped from the text; the tags aren't trained or remembered inside the model.)
The Word2Vec superclass from which Doc2Vec borrows a lot of functionality has a newer, more-experimental parameter on its build_vocab() called update. If set true, that call to build_vocab() will add to, rather than replace, any prior vocabulary. However, as of February 2018, this option doesn't yet work with Doc2Vec, and indeed often causes memory-fault crashes.
But even if/when that can be made to work, providing incremental training examples isn't necessarily a good idea. By only updating parts of the model – those exercised by the new examples – the overall model can get worse, or its vectors made less self-consistent with each other. (The essence of these dense-embedding models is that the optimization over all varied examples results in generally-useful vectors. Training over just some subset causes the model to drift towards being good on just that subset, at likely cost to earlier examples.)
If you need new examples to also become part of the results for most_similar(), you might want to create your own separate set-of-vectors outside of Doc2Vec. When you infer new vectors for new texts, you could add those to that outside set, and then implement your own most_similar() (using the gensim code as a model) to search over this expanding set of vectors, rather than just the fixed set that is created by initial bulk Doc2Vec training.
I was reading about cross validation and about how it it is used to select the best model and estimate parameters , I did not really understand the meaning of it.
Suppose I build a Linear regression model and go for a 10 fold cross validation, I think each of the 10 will have different coefficiant values , now from 10 different which should I pick as my final model or estimate parameters.
Or do we use Cross Validation only for the purpose of finding an average error(average of 10 models in our case) and comparing against another model ?
If your build a Linear regression model and go for a 10 fold cross validation, indeed each of the 10 will have different coefficient values. The reason why you use cross validation is that you get a robust idea of the error of your linear model - rather than just evaluating it on one train/test split only, which could be unfortunate or too lucky. CV is more robust as no ten splits can be all ten lucky or all ten unfortunate.
Your final model is then trained on the whole training set - this is where your final coefficients come from.
Cross-validation is used to see how good your models prediction is. It's pretty smart making multiple tests on the same data by splitting it as you probably know (i.e. if you don't have enough training data this is good to use).
As an example it might be used to make sure you aren't overfitting the function. So basically you try your function when you've finished it with Cross-validation and if you see that the error grows a lot somewhere you go back to tweaking the parameters.
Edit:
Read the wikipedia for deeper understanding of how it works: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-validation_%28statistics%29
You are basically confusing Grid-search with cross-validation. The idea behind cross-validation is basically to check how well a model will perform in say a real world application. So we basically try randomly splitting the data in different proportions and validate it's performance. It should be noted that the parameters of the model remain the same throughout the cross-validation process.
In Grid-search we try to find the best possible parameters that would give the best results over a specific split of data (say 70% train and 30% test). So in this case, for different combinations of the same model, the dataset remains constant.
Read more about cross-validation here.
Cross Validation is mainly used for the comparison of different models.
For each model, you may get the average generalization error on the k validation sets. Then you will be able to choose the model with the lowest average generation error as your optimal model.
Cross-Validation or CV allows us to compare different machine learning methods and get a sense of how well they will work in practice.
Scenario-1 (Directly related to the question)
Yes, CV can be used to know which method (SVM, Random Forest, etc) will perform best and we can pick that method to work further.
(From these methods different models will be generated and evaluated for each method and an average metric is calculated for each method and the best average metric will help in selecting the method)
After getting the information about the best method/ or best parameters we can train/retrain our model on the training dataset.
For parameters or coefficients, these can be determined by grid search techniques. See grid search
Scenario-2:
Suppose you have a small amount of data and you want to perform training, validation and testing on data. Then dividing such a small amount of data into three sets reduce the training samples drastically and the result will depend on the choice of pairs of training and validation sets.
CV will come to the rescue here. In this case, we don't need the validation set but we still need to hold the test data.
A model will be trained on k-1 folds of training data and the remaining 1 fold will be used for validating the data. A mean and standard deviation metric will be generated to see how well the model will perform in practice.
This is my first brush with machine learning, so I'm trying to figure out how this all works. I have a dataset where I've compiled all the statistics of each player to play with my high school baseball team. I also have a list of all the players that have ever made it to the MLB from my high school. What I'd like to do is split the data into a training set and a test set, and then feed it to some algorithm in the scikit-learn package and predict the probability of making the MLB.
So I looked through a number of sources and found this cheat sheet that suggests I start with linear SVC.
So, then as I understand it I need to break my data into training samples where each row is a player and each column is a piece of data about the player (batting average, on base percentage, yada, yada), X_train; and a corresponding truth matrix of a single row per player that is simply 1 (played in MLB) or 0 (did not play in MLB), Y_train. From there, I just do Fit(X,Y) and then I can use predict(X_test) to see if it gets the right values for Y_test.
Does this seem a logical choice of algorithm, method, and application?
EDIT to provide more information:
The data is made of 20 features such as number of games played, number of hits, number of Home Runs, number of Strike Outs, etc. Most are basic counting statistics about the players career; a few are rates such as batting average.
I have about 10k total rows to work with, so I can split the data based on that; but I have no idea how to optimally split the data, given that <1% have made the MLB.
Alright, here are a few steps that might want to make:
Prepare your data set. In practice, you might want to scale the features, but we'll leave it out to make the first working model as simple as possible. So will just need to split the dataset into test/train set. You could shuffle the records manually and take the first X% of the examples as the train set, but there's already a function for it in scikit-learn library: http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.model_selection.train_test_split.html. You might want to make sure that both: positive and negative examples are present in the train and test set. To do so, you can separate them before the test/train split to make sure that, say 70% of negative examples and 70% of positive examples go the training set.
Let's pick a simple classifier. I'll use logistic regression here: http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.linear_model.LogisticRegression.html, but other classifiers have a similar API.
Creating the classifier and training it is easy:
clf = LogisticRegression()
clf.fit(X_train, y_train)
Now it's time to make our first predictions:
y_pred = clf.predict(X_test)
A very important part of the model is its evaluation. Using accuracy is not a good idea here: the number of positive examples is very small, so the model that unconditionally returns 0 can get a very high score. We can use the f1 score instead: http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.metrics.f1_score.html.
If you want to predict probabilities instead of labels, you can just use the predict_proba method of the classifier.
That's it. We have a working model! Of course, there are a lot thing you may try to improve, such as scaling the features, trying different classifiers, tuning their hyperparameters, but this should be enough to get started.
If you don't have a lot of experience in ML, in scikit learn you have classification algorithms (if the target of your dataset is a boolean or a categorical variable) or regression algorithms (if the target is a continuous variable).
If you have a classification problem, and your variables are in a very different scale a good starting point is a decision tree:
http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.tree.DecisionTreeClassifier.html
The classifier is a Tree and you can see the decisions that are taking in the nodes.
After that you can use random forest, that is a group of decision trees that average results:
http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.ensemble.RandomForestClassifier.html
After that you can put the same scale in every feature:
http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.preprocessing.StandardScaler.html
And you can use other algorithms like SVMs.
For every algorithm you need a technique to select its parameters, for example cross validation:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-validation_(statistics)
But a good course is the best option to learn. In coursera you can find several good courses like this:
https://www.coursera.org/learn/machine-learning
I am using the Caffe framework for CNN training. My aim is to perform simple object recognition for a few basic object categories. Since pretrained networks are not an alternative for my proposed usage I prepared an own training- and testset with about 1000 images for each of 2 classes (say chairs and cars).
The results are quite good. If I present an yet unseen image of a chair it is likely classified as such, same for a car image. My problem is that the results on miscellaneous images that do not show any of these classes often shows a very high confidence (=1) for one random class (which is not surprising regarding the onesided training data but a problem for my application). I thought about different solutions:
1) Adding a third class with also about 1000 negative examples that shows any objects except a chair and a car.
2) Adding more object categories in general, just to let the network classify other objects as such and not any more as a chair or car (of course this would require much effort). Maybe also the broader prediction results would show a more uniform distribution at negative images, allowing to evaluate the target objects presence based on a threshold?
Because it was not much time-consuming to grab random images as negative examples from the internet, I already tested my first solution with about 1200 negative examples. It helped, but the problem remains, perhaps because it were just too few? My concern is that if I increment the number of negative examples, the imbalance of the number of examples for each class leads to less accurate detection of the original classes.
After some research I found one person with a similar problem, but there was no solution:
Convolutional Neural Networks with Caffe and NEGATIVE IMAGES
My question is: Has anyone had the same problem and knows how to deal with it? What way would you recommend, adding more negative examples or more object categories or do you have any other recommendation?
The problem is not unique to Caffe or ConvNets. Any Machine Learning technique runs this risk. In the end, all classifiers take a vector in some input space (usually very high-dimensional), which means they partition that input space. You've given examples of two partitions, which helps to estimate the boundary between the two, but only that boundary. Both partitions have very, very large boundaries, precisely because the input space is so high-dimensional.
ConvNets do try to tackle the high-dimensionality of image data by having fairly small convolution kernels. Realistic negative data helps in training those, and the label wouldn't really matter. You could even use the input image as goal (i.e. train it as an autoencoder) when training the convolution kernels.
One general reason why you don't want to lump all counterexamples is because they may be too varied. If you have a class A with some feature value from the range [-1,+1] on some scale, with counterexamples B [-2,-1] and C [+1,+2], lumping B and C together creates a range [-2,+2] for counterexamples which overlaps the real real range. Given enough data and powerful enough classifiers, this is not fatal, but for instance an SVM can fail badly on this.
I currently am working on a time series witch 430 attributes and approx. 80k instances. Now I would like to binary classify each instance (not the whole ts). Everything I found about classifying TS talked about labeling the whole thing.
Is it possible to classify each instance with something like a SVM completely disregarding the sequential nature of the data or would that only result in a really bad classifier?
Which other options are there which classify each instance but still look at the data as a time series?
If the data is labeled, you may have luck by concatenating attributes together, so each instance becomes a single long time series, and by applying the so-called Shapelet Transform. This would result in a vector of values for each of time series which can be fed into SVM, Random Forest, or any other classifier. It could be that picking a right shapelets will allow you to focus on a single attribute when classifying instances.
If it is not labeled, you may try the unsupervised shapelets application first to explore your data and proceed with aforementioned shapelet transform after.
It certainly depends on the data within the 430 attributes,
data types, and especially the problem you want to solve.
In time series analysis, you usually want to exploit the dependencies between the neighboring points, i.e., how they change in time. The examples you may find in books usually talk about a single function f(t): Time -> Real. If I understand it correctly, you want to focus just on the dependencies among the 430 attributes (vertical dependencies) and disregard the horizontal dependencies.
If I were you, I would first try to train multiple classifiers (SVM, Maximum entropy model, Multi-layer perceptron, Random forest, Probabilistic Neural Network, ...) and compare their prediction performance in the frame of your problem.
For training, you can start by feeding all 430 attributes as features to Maxent classifier (can easily handle millions of features).
You also need to perform some N-fold cross-validation to see whether the classifiers are not overfitted. Then pick the best that solves your problem "good enough".
Other ideas if this approach does not perform well:
include features from t-1, t-2...
perform feature selection by trying different subsets of features
derive new time series such as moving averages, wavelet spectrum ... and use them as new features
A nice implementation of Maxent classifier can be found in openNLP.