Right way to permute [duplicate] - random

I've been using Random (java.util.Random) to shuffle a deck of 52 cards. There are 52! (8.0658175e+67) possibilities. Yet, I've found out that the seed for java.util.Random is a long, which is much smaller at 2^64 (1.8446744e+19).
From here, I'm suspicious whether java.util.Random is really that random; is it actually capable of generating all 52! possibilities?
If not, how can I reliably generate a better random sequence that can produce all 52! possibilities?

Selecting a random permutation requires simultaneously more and less randomness than what your question implies. Let me explain.
The bad news: need more randomness.
The fundamental flaw in your approach is that it's trying to choose between ~2226 possibilities using 64 bits of entropy (the random seed). To fairly choose between ~2226 possibilities you're going to have to find a way to generate 226 bits of entropy instead of 64.
There are several ways to generate random bits: dedicated hardware, CPU instructions, OS interfaces, online services. There is already an implicit assumption in your question that you can somehow generate 64 bits, so just do whatever you were going to do, only four times, and donate the excess bits to charity. :)
The good news: need less randomness.
Once you have those 226 random bits, the rest can be done deterministically and so the properties of java.util.Random can be made irrelevant. Here is how.
Let's say we generate all 52! permutations (bear with me) and sort them lexicographically.
To choose one of the permutations all we need is a single random integer between 0 and 52!-1. That integer is our 226 bits of entropy. We'll use it as an index into our sorted list of permutations. If the random index is uniformly distributed, not only are you guaranteed that all permutations can be chosen, they will be chosen equiprobably (which is a stronger guarantee than what the question is asking).
Now, you don't actually need to generate all those permutations. You can produce one directly, given its randomly chosen position in our hypothetical sorted list. This can be done in O(n2) time using the Lehmer[1] code (also see numbering permutations and factoriadic number system). The n here is the size of your deck, i.e. 52.
There is a C implementation in this StackOverflow answer. There are several integer variables there that would overflow for n=52, but luckily in Java you can use java.math.BigInteger. The rest of the computations can be transcribed almost as-is:
public static int[] shuffle(int n, BigInteger random_index) {
int[] perm = new int[n];
BigInteger[] fact = new BigInteger[n];
fact[0] = BigInteger.ONE;
for (int k = 1; k < n; ++k) {
fact[k] = fact[k - 1].multiply(BigInteger.valueOf(k));
}
// compute factorial code
for (int k = 0; k < n; ++k) {
BigInteger[] divmod = random_index.divideAndRemainder(fact[n - 1 - k]);
perm[k] = divmod[0].intValue();
random_index = divmod[1];
}
// readjust values to obtain the permutation
// start from the end and check if preceding values are lower
for (int k = n - 1; k > 0; --k) {
for (int j = k - 1; j >= 0; --j) {
if (perm[j] <= perm[k]) {
perm[k]++;
}
}
}
return perm;
}
public static void main (String[] args) {
System.out.printf("%s\n", Arrays.toString(
shuffle(52, new BigInteger(
"7890123456789012345678901234567890123456789012345678901234567890"))));
}
[1] Not to be confused with Lehrer. :)

Your analysis is correct: seeding a pseudo-random number generator with any specific seed must yield the same sequence after a shuffle, limiting the number of permutations that you could obtain to 264. This assertion is easy to verify experimentally by calling Collection.shuffle twice, passing a Random object initialized with the same seed, and observing that the two random shuffles are identical.
A solution to this, then, is to use a random number generator that allows for a larger seed. Java provides SecureRandom class that could be initialized with byte[] array of virtually unlimited size. You could then pass an instance of SecureRandom to Collections.shuffle to complete the task:
byte seed[] = new byte[...];
Random rnd = new SecureRandom(seed);
Collections.shuffle(deck, rnd);

In general, a pseudorandom number generator (PRNG) can't choose from among all permutations of a 52-item list if its maximum cycle length is less than 226 bits.
java.util.Random implements an algorithm with a modulus of 248 and a maximum cycle length of not more than that, so much less than 2226 (corresponding to the 226 bits I referred to). You will need to use another PRNG with a bigger cycle length, specifically one with a maximum cycle length of 52 factorial or greater.
See also "Shuffling" in my article on random number generators.
This consideration is independent of the nature of the PRNG; it applies equally to cryptographic and noncryptographic PRNGs (of course, noncryptographic PRNGs are inappropriate whenever information security is involved).
Although java.security.SecureRandom allows seeds of unlimited length to be passed in, the SecureRandom implementation could use an underlying PRNG (e.g., "SHA1PRNG" or "DRBG"). And it depends on that PRNG's maximum cycle length whether it's capable of choosing from among 52 factorial permutations.

Let me apologize in advance, because this is a little tough to understand...
First of all, you already know that java.util.Random is not completely random at all. It generates sequences in a perfectly predictable way from the seed. You are completely correct that, since the seed is only 64 bits long, it can only generate 2^64 different sequences. If you were to somehow generate 64 real random bits and use them to select a seed, you could not use that seed to randomly choose between all of the 52! possible sequences with equal probability.
However, this fact is of no consequence as long as you're not actually going to generate more than 2^64 sequences, as long as there is nothing 'special' or 'noticeably special' about the 2^64 sequences that it can generate.
Lets say you had a much better PRNG that used 1000-bit seeds. Imagine you had two ways to initialize it -- one way would initialize it using the whole seed, and one way would hash the seed down to 64 bits before initializing it.
If you didn't know which initializer was which, could you write any kind of test to distinguish them? Unless you were (un)lucky enough to end up initializing the bad one with the same 64 bits twice, then the answer is no. You could not distinguish between the two initializers without some detailed knowledge of some weakness in the specific PRNG implementation.
Alternatively, imagine that the Random class had an array of 2^64 sequences that were selected completely and random at some time in the distant past, and that the seed was just an index into this array.
So the fact that Random uses only 64 bits for its seed is actually not necessarily a problem statistically, as long as there is no significant chance that you will use the same seed twice.
Of course, for cryptographic purposes, a 64 bit seed is just not enough, because getting a system to use the same seed twice is computationally feasible.
EDIT:
I should add that, even though all of the above is correct, that the actual implementation of java.util.Random is not awesome. If you are writing a card game, maybe use the MessageDigest API to generate the SHA-256 hash of "MyGameName"+System.currentTimeMillis(), and use those bits to shuffle the deck. By the above argument, as long as your users are not really gambling, you don't have to worry that currentTimeMillis returns a long. If your users are really gambling, then use SecureRandom with no seed.

I'm going to take a bit of a different tack on this. You're right on your assumptions - your PRNG isn't going to be able to hit all 52! possibilities.
The question is: what's the scale of your card game?
If you're making a simple klondike-style game? Then you definitely don't need all 52! possibilities. Instead, look at it like this: a player will have 18 quintillion distinct games. Even accounting for the 'Birthday Problem', they'd have to play billions of hands before they'd run into the first duplicate game.
If you're making a monte-carlo simulation? Then you're probably okay. You might have to deal with artifacts due to the 'P' in PRNG, but you're probably not going to run into problems simply due to a low seed space (again, you're looking at quintillions of unique possibilities.) On the flip side, if you're working with large iteration count, then, yeah, your low seed space might be a deal-breaker.
If you're making a multiplayer card game, particularly if there's money on the line? Then you're going to need to do some googling on how the online poker sites handled the same problem you're asking about. Because while the low seed space issue isn't noticeable to the average player, it is exploitable if it's worth the time investment. (The poker sites all went through a phase where their PRNGs were 'hacked', letting someone see the hole cards of all the other players, simply by deducing the seed from exposed cards.) If this is the situation you're in, don't simply find a better PRNG - you'll need to treat it as seriously as a Crypto problem.

Short solution which is essentially the same of dasblinkenlight:
// Java 7
SecureRandom random = new SecureRandom();
// Java 8
SecureRandom random = SecureRandom.getInstanceStrong();
Collections.shuffle(deck, random);
You don't need to worry about the internal state. Long explanation why:
When you create a SecureRandom instance this way, it accesses an OS specific
true random number generator. This is either an entropy pool where values are
accessed which contain random bits (e.g. for a nanosecond timer the nanosecond
precision is essentially random) or an internal hardware number generator.
This input (!) which may still contain spurious traces are fed into a
cryptographically strong hash which removes those traces. That is the reason those CSPRNGs are used, not for creating those numbers themselves! The SecureRandom has a counter which traces how many bits were used (getBytes(), getLong() etc.) and refills the SecureRandom with entropy bits when necessary.
In short: Simply forget objections and use SecureRandom as true random number generator.

If you consider the number as just an array of bits (or bytes) then maybe you could use the (Secure)Random.nextBytes solutions suggested in this Stack Overflow question, and then map the array into a new BigInteger(byte[]).

A very simple algorithm is to apply SHA-256 to a sequence of integers incrementing from 0 upwards. (A salt can be appended if desired to "get a different sequence".) If we assume that the output of SHA-256 is "as good as" uniformly distributed integers between 0 and 2256 - 1 then we have enough entropy for the task.
To get a permutation from the output of SHA256 (when expressed as an integer) one simply needs to reduce it modulo 52, 51, 50... as in this pseudocode:
deck = [0..52]
shuffled = []
r = SHA256(i)
while deck.size > 0:
pick = r % deck.size
r = floor(r / deck.size)
shuffled.append(deck[pick])
delete deck[pick]

My Empirical research results are Java.Random is not totally truly random. If you try yourself by using Random class "nextGaussian()"-method and generate enough big sample population for numbers between -1 and 1, the graph is normal distbruted field know as Gaussian Model.
Finnish goverment owned gambling-bookmarker have a once per day whole year around every day drawn lottery-game where winning table shows that the Bookmarker gives winnings in normal distrbuted way. My Java Simulation with 5 million draws shows me that with nextInt() -methdod used number draw, winnings are normally distributed same kind of like the my Bookmarker deals the winnings in each draw.
My best picks are avoiding numbers 3 and 7 in each of ending ones and that's true that they are rarely in winning results. Couple of times won five out of five picks by avoiding 3 and 7 numbers in ones column in Integer between 1-70 (Keno).
Finnish Lottery drawn once per week Saturday evenings If you play System with 12 numbers out of 39, perhaps you get 5 or 6 right picks in your coupon by avoiding 3 and 7 values.
Finnish Lottery have numbers 1-40 to choose and it takes 4 coupon to cover all the nnumbers with 12 number system. The total cost is 240 euros and in long term it's too expensive for the regural gambler to play without going broke. Even if you share coupons to other customers available to buy still you have to be quite a lucky if you want to make profit.

Related

Is there any algorithm for random number generation whose pattern cannot be revealed?

Can it be possible to create random number whose pattern of getting the next random number never be repeated even the universe ends.
I read this security rule-of-thumb:
All processes which require non-trivial random numbers MUST attempt to
use openssl_pseudo_random_bytes(). You MAY fallback to
mcrypt_create_iv() with the source set to MCRYPT_DEV_URANDOM. You MAY
also attempt to directly read bytes from /dev/urandom. If all else
fails, and you have no other choice, you MUST instead generate a value
by strongly mixing multiple sources of available random or secret
values.
http://phpsecurity.readthedocs.org/en/latest/Insufficient-Entropy-For-Random-Values.html
In Layman's terms, no; In order to generate a particular data form, such as a string or integer, you must have an algorithm of some sort, which obviously cannot be 100% untraceable...
Basically, the final product myust come from a series of events (algorithm) in which is impossible to keep 'unrevealed'.
bignum getUniqueRandom()
{
static bignum sum = 0;
sum += rand();
return sum;
}
That way the next random number will be always greater than the previous (by a random factor between 0 and 1) and as result the numbers returned will never repeat.
edit:
The actual approach when randomness requirements are so high is to use a hardware random number generator; there are for example chips that measure atom decays of background radiation generating truly random seeds. Of course the nature or randomness is such that there is never a guarantee a pattern can't repeat, or you'd be damaging the actual randomness of the result. But the pattern can't be repeated by any technical/mathematical means, so the repeats are meaningless.
At every step in the execution of a computer program, the total internal state determines what the next total internal state will be. This internal state must be represented by some number of bits--all of the memory used by the program, registers of the processor, anything else that affects it. There can only be 2**N possible states given N bits of state information.
Since any given state T will lead to the same state T+1 (that's what "deterministic" means), the algorithm must eventually repeat itself after no more than 2**N steps. So what limits the cycle length of an RNG is the number of bits of internal state. A simple LCG might have only 32 bits of state, and therefore a cycle <= 2^32. Something like Mersenne Twister has 19968 bits of internal state, and its period is 2^19937-1.
So for any deterministic algorithm to be "unrepeatable in the history of the Universe", you'll probably need most of the atoms of the Universe to be memory for its internal state.

Non-recursive pseudo-random number generation with discrete uniform distribution

I wonder is there any cheap and effective function to generate pseudo-random numbers by their indices? With something like that implementation:
var rand = new PseudoRandom(seed); // all sequences for same seeds are equal
trace(rand.get(index1)); // get int number by index1, for example =0x12345678
trace(rand.get(index2));
...
trace(rand.get(index1)); // must return the SAME number, =0x12345678
Probably it isn't about randomness but about good (fast and close as much as possible to uniform distribution) hashing where initial seed used as salt.
You could build such random number generator out of the stream cipher Salsa20. One of the nice features of Salsa20 is that you can jump ahead to any offset very cheaply. And Salsa20 is fast, typically less than 20 cycles per byte. Since the cipher is indistinguishable from a truly random stream, uniformity should be excellent.
Since you probably don't need cryptographically secure random numbers, you could even reduce the number of rounds to something like 8 instead of the usual 20 rounds.
Another option is to just use the ideas behind Salsa20, how to mix up a state array (Bernstein calls that a hashing function), to build your own random number generator.

Is there anything wrong with a random seed of 0, 1

Is there anything particularly wrong with a random seed of 0, 1... or any other small integer, when using Mersenne Twister?
(I definitely want a repeatable pseudorandom sequence hence not seeding from time() or such like).
No problem whatsoever.
The point of seeding via a single integer is programmers's convenience:
You don't need to remember the rules for admissible seeds ("need 55 numbers, not all even; need < 256 bytes; ...");
You can (hopefully) easily get either different streams, or sequences which are at least far away from one another (some generators can prove this, not sure about MT); the seed is just (conceptually!) an index into a list of possible sequences.
The actual value of the seed is irrelevant -- 0 isn't more random than 1391202260 :)

"Resetting" pseudo-random number generator seed multiple times?

Today, my friend had a thought that setting the seed of a pseudo-random number generator multiple times using the pseudo-random number generated to "make things more randomized".
An example in C#:
// Initiate one with a time-based seed
Random rand = new Random(milliseconds_since_unix_epoch());
// Then loop for a_number_of_times...
for (int i = 0; i < a_number_of_times; i++)
{
// ... to initiate with the next random number generated
rand = new Random(rand.Next());
}
// So is `rand` now really random?
assert(rand.Next() is really_random);
But I was thinking that this could probably increase the chance of getting a repeated seed being used for the pseudo-random number generator.
Will this
make things more randomized,
making it loop through a certain number of seeds used, or
does nothing to the randomness (i.e. neither increase nor decrease)?
Could any expert in pseudo-random number generators give some detailed explanations so that I can convince my friend? I would be happy to see answers explaining further detail in some pseudo-random number generator algorithm.
There are three basic levels of use for pseudorandom numbers. Each level subsumes the one below it.
Unexpected numbers with no particular correlation guarantees. Generators at this level typically have some hidden correlations that might matter to you, or might not.
Statistically-independent number with known non-correlation. These are generally required for numerical simulations.
Cryptographically secure numbers that cannot be guessed. These are always required when security is at issue.
Each of these is deterministic. A random number generator is an algorithm that has some internal state. Applying the algorithm once yields a new internal state and an output number. Seeding the generator means setting up an internal state; it's not always the case that the seed interface allows setting up every possible internal state. As a good rule of thumb, always assume that the default library random() routine operates at only the weakest level, level 1.
To answer your specific question, the algorithm in the question (1) cannot increase the randomness and (2) might decrease it. The expectation of randomness, thus, is strictly lower than seeding it once at the beginning. The reason comes from the possible existence of short iterative cycles. An iterative cycle for a function F is a pair of integers n and k where F^(n) (k) = k, where the exponent is the number of times F is applied. For example, F^(3) (x) = F(F(F(x))). If there's a short iterative cycle, the random numbers will repeat more often than they would otherwise. In the code presented, the iteration function is to seed the generator and then take the first output.
To answer a question you didn't quite ask, but which is relevant to getting an understanding of this, seeding with a millisecond counter makes your generator fail the test of level 3, unguessability. That's because the number of possible milliseconds is cryptographically small, which is a number known to be subject to exhaustive search. As of this writing, 2^50 should be considered cryptographically small. (For what counts as cryptographically large in any year, please find a reputable expert.) Now the number of milliseconds in a century is approximately 2^(41.5), so don't rely on that form of seeding for security purposes.
Your example won't increase the randomness because there is no increase in entropy. It is simply derived from the execution time of the program.
Instead of using something based of the current time, computers maintain an entropy pool, and build it up with data that is statistically random (or at least, unguessable). For example, the timing delay between network packets, or key-strokes, or hard-drive read times.
You should tap into that entropy pool if you want good random numbers. These are known as Cryptographically secure pseudorandom number generators.
In C#, see the Cryptography.RandomNumberGenerator Class for the right way to get a secure random number.
This will not make things more "random".
Our seed determines the random looking but completely determined sequence of numbers that rand.next() gives us.
Instead of making things more random, your code defines a mapping from your initial seed to some final seed, and, given the same initial seed, you will always end up with the same final seed.
Try playing with this code and you will see what I mean (also, here is a link to a version you can run in your browser):
int my_seed = 100; // change my seed to whatever you want
Random rand = new Random(my_seed);
for (int i = 0; i < a_number_of_times; i++)
{
rand = new Random(rand.Next());
}
// does this print the same number every run if we don't change the starting seed?
Console.WriteLine(rand.Next()); // yes, it does
The Random object with this final seed is just like any other Random object. It just took you more time then necessary to create it.

Range extremes don't seem to get drawn by random()

For several valid reasons I have to use BSD's random() to generate awfully large amounts of random numbers, and since its cycle is quite short (~2^69, if I'm not mistaken) the quality of such numbers degrades pretty quickly for my use case. I could use the rng board I have access to but it's painfully slow so I thought I could do this trick: take one number from the board, use it to seed random(), use random() to draw numbers and reseed it when the board says a new number is available. The board generates about 100 numbers per second so my guess is that random() hardly gets to cycle over and the generation rate easily keeps up with my requirements of several millions numbers per second.
Anyway, the problem is that random() claims to uniformly draw numbers between 0 and (2^31)-1, but I've been drawing an uncountable amount of numbers and I've never ever seen a 0 nor a (2^31)-1 so far. Maybe some 1 and (2^31)-2, but I've never seen the extremes. Now, I know the problem with random numbers is that you can never be sure (see Dilbert, Debian), but this seem extremely odd nonetheless. Moreover I tried analysing the generated datasets with Octave using the histc() function, and the lowest and the highest bins contain between half and three quarter the amount of numbers of the middle bins (which in turn are uniformly filled, so I guess in some sense the distribution is "uniform").
Can anybody explain this?
EDIT Some code
The board outputs this structure with the three components, and then I do some mumbo-jumbo combining them to produce the seed. I have no specs about this board, it's an ancient piece of hardware thrown together by a previous student some years ago, there's little documentation and this formula I'm using is one of those suggested in the docs. The STEP parameter tells me how may numbers I can draw using one seed so I can optimise performance and throttle down CPU usage at the same time.
float n = fabsf(fmod(sqrt(a.s1*a.s1 + a.s2*a.s2 + a.s3*a.s3), 1.0));
unsigned int seed = n * UINT32_MAX;
srandom(seed);
for(int i = 0; i < STEP; i++) {
long r = random();
n = (float)r / (UINT32_MAX >> 1);
[_numbers addObject:[NSNumber numberWithFloat:n]];
}
Are you certain that
void main() {
while (random() != 0L);
}
hangs indefinitely? On my linux machine (the Gnu C library uses the same linear feedback shift register as BSD, albeit with a different seeding procedure) it doesn't.
According to this reference the algorithm produces 'runs' of consecutive zeroes or ones up to length n-1 where n is the size of the shift register. When this has a size of 31 integers (the default case) we can even be certain that, eventually, random() will return 0 a whopping 30 (but never 31) times in a row! Of course, we may have to wait a few centuries to see it happening...
To extend the cycle length, one method is to run two RNGs, with different periods, and XOR their output. See L'Ecuyer 1988 for some examples.

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